VPCB Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession?

Outlook: VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings II Class A ordinary shre is assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised¹ :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks²
Methodology : Statistical Inference (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Linear Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

¹The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

²Time series is updated based on short-term trends.

Summary

VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings II Class A ordinary shre prediction model is evaluated with Statistical Inference (ML) and Linear Regression^1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the VPCB stock is predictable in the short/long term. Statistical inference is a process of drawing conclusions about a population based on data from a sample of that population. In machine learning (ML), statistical inference is used to make predictions about new data based on data that has already been seen. According to price forecasts for 4 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell

Key Points

1. How do predictive algorithms actually work?
2. What is prediction in deep learning?
3. Is now good time to invest?

VPCB Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings II Class A ordinary shre Decision Process with Statistical Inference (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of VPCB stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Linear Regression)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ 4 Weeks $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of VPCB stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

Statistical Inference (ML)

Statistical inference is a process of drawing conclusions about a population based on data from a sample of that population. In machine learning (ML), statistical inference is used to make predictions about new data based on data that has already been seen.

Linear Regression

In statistics, linear regression is a method for estimating the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. The dependent variable is the variable that is being predicted, and the independent variables are the variables that are used to predict the dependent variable. Linear regression assumes that the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variables is linear. This means that the dependent variable can be represented as a straight line function of the independent variables.

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

VPCB Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: VPCB VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings II Class A ordinary shre
Time series to forecast: 4 Weeks

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Financial Data Adjustments for Statistical Inference (ML) based VPCB Stock Prediction Model

1. If an entity previously accounted for a derivative liability that is linked to, and must be settled by, delivery of an equity instrument that does not have a quoted price in an active market for an identical instrument (ie a Level 1 input) at cost in accordance with IAS 39, it shall measure that derivative liability at fair value at the date of initial application. Any difference between the previous carrying amount and the fair value shall be recognised in the opening retained earnings of the reporting period that includes the date of initial application.
2. Interest Rate Benchmark Reform, which amended IFRS 9, IAS 39 and IFRS 7, issued in September 2019, added Section 6.8 and amended paragraph 7.2.26. An entity shall apply these amendments for annual periods beginning on or after 1 January 2020. Earlier application is permitted. If an entity applies these amendments for an earlier period, it shall disclose that fact.
3. The rebuttable presumption in paragraph 5.5.11 is not an absolute indicator that lifetime expected credit losses should be recognised, but is presumed to be the latest point at which lifetime expected credit losses should be recognised even when using forward-looking information (including macroeconomic factors on a portfolio level).
4. The assessment of whether lifetime expected credit losses should be recognised is based on significant increases in the likelihood or risk of a default occurring since initial recognition (irrespective of whether a financial instrument has been repriced to reflect an increase in credit risk) instead of on evidence of a financial asset being credit-impaired at the reporting date or an actual default occurring. Generally, there will be a significant increase in credit risk before a financial asset becomes credit-impaired or an actual default occurs.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

VPCB VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings II Class A ordinary shre Financial Analysis*

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	B2	Ba2
Income Statement	Baa2	Baa2
Balance Sheet	C	C
Leverage Ratios	C	Baa2
Cash Flow	B3	Baa2
Rates of Return and Profitability	B2	Ba1

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Conclusions

VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings II Class A ordinary shre is assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba2 estimated rating. VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings II Class A ordinary shre prediction model is evaluated with Statistical Inference (ML) and Linear Regression^1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the VPCB stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for 4 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 88 out of 100 with 678 signals.

References

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4. Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Apple's Stock Price: How News Affects Volatility. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
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6. Robins J, Rotnitzky A. 1995. Semiparametric efficiency in multivariate regression models with missing data. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 90:122–29
7. Akgiray, V. (1989), "Conditional heteroscedasticity in time series of stock returns: Evidence and forecasts," Journal of Business, 62, 55–80.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for VPCB stock?
A: VPCB stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Linear Regression
Q: Is VPCB stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell VPCB Stock.
Q: Is VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings II Class A ordinary shre stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for VPC Impact Acquisition Holdings II Class A ordinary shre is Sell and is assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba2 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of VPCB stock?
A: The consensus rating for VPCB is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for VPCB stock?
A: The prediction period for VPCB is 4 Weeks