How Do You Pick a Stock? (LON:HZM Stock Forecast)

Market systems are so complex that they overwhelm the ability of any individual to predict. But it is crucial for the investors to predict stock market price to generate notable profit. We have taken into factors such as Commodity Prices (crude oil, gold, silver), Market History, and Foreign exchange rate (FEX) that influence the stock trend. We evaluate HORIZONTE MINERALS PLC prediction models with Transfer Learning (ML) and Sign Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:HZM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:HZM stock.

Keywords: LON:HZM, HORIZONTE MINERALS PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

1. Probability Distribution
2. Can we predict stock market using machine learning?
3. What is the use of Markov decision process?

LON:HZM Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

How to predict stock price movements based on quantitative market data modeling is an attractive topic. In front of the market news and stock prices that are commonly believed as two important market data sources, how to extract and exploit the hidden information within the raw data and make both accurate and fast predictions simultaneously becomes a challenging problem. In this paper, we present the design and architecture of our trading signal mining platform that employs extreme learning machine (ELM) to make stock price prediction based on those two data sources concurrently. We consider HORIZONTE MINERALS PLC Stock Decision Process with Sign Test where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:HZM stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Sign Test)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Transfer Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $\sum _{i=1}^n\left(a_i\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:HZM stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:HZM Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:HZM HORIZONTE MINERALS PLC
Time series to forecast n: 18 Oct 2022 for (n+3 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:HZM stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Conclusions

HORIZONTE MINERALS PLC assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transfer Learning (ML) with Sign Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:HZM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:HZM stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:HZM Stock Options & Futures

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	B2	B1
Operational Risk	52	66
Market Risk	39	30
Technical Analysis	60	72
Fundamental Analysis	46	78
Risk Unsystematic	76	44

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 84 out of 100 with 503 signals.

References

1. Andrews, D. W. K. (1993), "Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point," Econometrica, 61, 821–856.
2. Breiman L. 2001b. Statistical modeling: the two cultures (with comments and a rejoinder by the author). Stat. Sci. 16:199–231
3. L. Prashanth and M. Ghavamzadeh. Actor-critic algorithms for risk-sensitive MDPs. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 26, pages 252–260, 2013.
4. Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.
5. Ashley, R. (1988), "On the relative worth of recent macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 363–376.
6. Farrell MH, Liang T, Misra S. 2018. Deep neural networks for estimation and inference: application to causal effects and other semiparametric estimands. arXiv:1809.09953 [econ.EM]
7. V. Borkar. Q-learning for risk-sensitive control. Mathematics of Operations Research, 27:294–311, 2002.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for LON:HZM stock?
A: LON:HZM stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transfer Learning (ML) and Sign Test
Q: Is LON:HZM stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:HZM Stock.
Q: Is HORIZONTE MINERALS PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for HORIZONTE MINERALS PLC is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:HZM stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:HZM is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:HZM stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:HZM is (n+3 month)