PFE Stock Price Prediction

Abstract

We evaluate Pfizer prediction models with Supervised Machine Learning (ML) and Beta^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the PFE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell PFE stock.

Keywords: PFE, Pfizer, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

1. How do you pick a stock?
2. What is a prediction confidence?
3. Is now good time to invest?

PFE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Pfizer Stock Decision Process with Beta where A is the set of discrete actions of PFE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Beta)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Supervised Machine Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\overrightarrow{R}=\left(r_1,r_2,r_3\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PFE stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

PFE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: PFE Pfizer
Time series to forecast n: 06 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell PFE stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Conclusions

Pfizer assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Supervised Machine Learning (ML) with Beta^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the PFE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell PFE stock.

Financial State Forecast for PFE Stock Options & Futures

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	B1	B2
Operational Risk	41	82
Market Risk	75	40
Technical Analysis	39	40
Fundamental Analysis	79	74
Risk Unsystematic	70	32

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 84 out of 100 with 594 signals.

References

1. E. Altman, K. Avrachenkov, and R. N ́u ̃nez-Queija. Perturbation analysis for denumerable Markov chains with application to queueing models. Advances in Applied Probability, pages 839–853, 2004
2. Wooldridge JM. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
3. Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.
4. O. Bardou, N. Frikha, and G. Pag`es. Computing VaR and CVaR using stochastic approximation and adaptive unconstrained importance sampling. Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, 15(3):173–210, 2009.
5. Wooldridge JM. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
6. J. Peters, S. Vijayakumar, and S. Schaal. Natural actor-critic. In Proceedings of the Sixteenth European Conference on Machine Learning, pages 280–291, 2005.
7. Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for PFE stock?
A: PFE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Supervised Machine Learning (ML) and Beta
Q: Is PFE stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell PFE Stock.
Q: Is Pfizer stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Pfizer is Sell and assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of PFE stock?
A: The consensus rating for PFE is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for PFE stock?
A: The prediction period for PFE is (n+1 year)