Buy, sell or hold: MLM Stock Forecast

Abstract

We evaluate Martin Marietta Materials prediction models with Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX) and Beta^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the MLM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell MLM stock.

Keywords: MLM, Martin Marietta Materials, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

1. What statistical methods are used to analyze data?
2. Market Outlook
3. Can statistics predict the future?

MLM Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Martin Marietta Materials Stock Decision Process with Beta where A is the set of discrete actions of MLM stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Beta)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) $\sum _{i=1}^n\left(s_i\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of MLM stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

MLM Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: MLM Martin Marietta Materials
Time series to forecast n: 01 Sep 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell MLM stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Conclusions

Martin Marietta Materials assigned short-term B1 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX) with Beta^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the MLM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell MLM stock.

Financial State Forecast for MLM Stock Options & Futures

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	B1	B1
Operational Risk	51	31
Market Risk	62	39
Technical Analysis	68	70
Fundamental Analysis	73	79
Risk Unsystematic	53	82

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 90 out of 100 with 671 signals.

References

1. T. Shardlow and A. Stuart. A perturbation theory for ergodic Markov chains and application to numerical approximations. SIAM journal on numerical analysis, 37(4):1120–1137, 2000
2. Bengio Y, Ducharme R, Vincent P, Janvin C. 2003. A neural probabilistic language model. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 3:1137–55
3. Dietterich TG. 2000. Ensemble methods in machine learning. In Multiple Classifier Systems: First International Workshop, Cagliari, Italy, June 21–23, pp. 1–15. Berlin: Springer
4. Athey S, Bayati M, Doudchenko N, Imbens G, Khosravi K. 2017a. Matrix completion methods for causal panel data models. arXiv:1710.10251 [math.ST]
5. Harris ZS. 1954. Distributional structure. Word 10:146–62
6. Candès E, Tao T. 2007. The Dantzig selector: statistical estimation when p is much larger than n. Ann. Stat. 35:2313–51
7. H. Kushner and G. Yin. Stochastic approximation algorithms and applications. Springer, 1997.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for MLM stock?
A: MLM stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX) and Beta
Q: Is MLM stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell MLM Stock.
Q: Is Martin Marietta Materials stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Martin Marietta Materials is Sell and assigned short-term B1 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of MLM stock?
A: The consensus rating for MLM is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for MLM stock?
A: The prediction period for MLM is (n+6 month)